In which quarters of 2025 will US GDP contract? (3rd estimate)
23
10kṀ7324
2026
79%
Q1
58%
Q2
41%
Q3
39%
Q4

Each quarter resolves YES if, according to the third estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, real GDP decreased in that quarter.

If the headline GDP growth figure is zero as rounded to one decimal place (as normally reported), answers will resolve based on the underlying, un-rounded figure to whatever precision it is publicly available from the BEA.

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