Which country will Donald Trump announce a "major trade deal" with on May 8th?
27
4kṀ19k
resolved May 8
100%96%
England/UK
1.0%
India
1.1%
Canada
1.7%Other

  • Update 2025-05-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has affirmed that the UK counts for England. This means if Donald Trump announces a "major trade deal" with England, it will be considered a deal with the UK for resolution purposes.

  • Update 2025-05-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Donald Trump announces a major trade deal with multiple countries, the market will resolve as Other (Multiple countries).

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@WallStreetCorgi seems like the right call to me

What if he specifically announces a trade deal with an administrative subdivision of the UK that isn't England, i.e. Scotland or Northern Ireland?

@Damin Still going to resolve to UK/England as both are covered in that choice. Or we can debate it.

bought Ṁ50 YES

If he announces a deal with multiple countries how does this resolve?

@Cactus Other (Multiple countries)

I'm assuming UK counts for England? England hasn't really been an independent country for a few centuries now, it'd almost be like trying to strike a trade deal with Transylvania instead of Romania, or Venice instead of Italy

@TheAllMemeingEye yes - changed

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