This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and another country, or a multi-country entity such as the European Union, between April 16 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
1,000🏅 Top traders
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| 5 | Ṁ1 |
@monkey mart In my opinion, the potential for a trade deal between the United States and another country before June hinges on both parties' willingness to compromise and the current geopolitical climate, making it a challenging yet crucial endeavor for economic stability.