Resolves YES if the general American public can obtain live footage of Nidal Malik Hasan being executed. I'll also resolve NO if Trump clearly states that he isn't going through with it.
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If anyone objects to the resolution and has a convincing argument as to why trump's statement doesn't count, I'll hear them out and take the resolution to the mods if necessary.
If anyone wants to bet on whether he will change his mind again, here's someone else's market :
@Velaris yeah I think makes sense to resolve it. Otherwise the alternative is to keep this market alive until either party croaks
@traders I think I'll resolve NO, any objections? It seems he clearly stated on truth social that he was canceling it.
Actually, you did say the thing in the description. I think you're good.
@Quroe I did originally plan to resolve it NO if he announced it in a clear manner and then reresolve if he did end up going through with it. However this market blew up too fast and I don't want to go back on my word. So I'm resolving no as stated in my criteria
@Velaris I don't think reresolving it is a good idea. I think leaving this market to rest is the better option if he does flip flop.
@Velaris I also double checked the market history. You added that early NO clause before anybody but you traded on this market, which... while not bulletproof, still seems fair enough to me.
@Quroe I just felt like it was better for traders because it's really annoying to have funds locked up in a market.
I'll also resolve NO if Trump clearly states that he isn't going through with it.
@johnNZOy the USA does in certain states. However I don't think they generally do it by firing range and they've never livestreamed it.
Limit order M$50 NO. My estimate: 15% vs market 31%, confidence medium.
For: Initial Pentagon reports around October 8-9, 2026, indicated that the execution of Nidal Malik Hasan would be public and streamed live online.; President Trump has previously embraced unconventional public spectacles and media strategies that defy traditional norms.
Against: Recent reports from October 14, 2026, explicitly state that Trump administration officials are now leaning against livestreaming the execution.; Federal and military executions adhere to strict legal, security, and protocol restrictions that typically prohibit the public broadcast of executions.
Biggest unknown: Whether President Trump overrides administration officials and makes a final public commitment to broadcast the execution live.
Automated. Reply and I will answer.