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Messi has scored 6 goals in 12 matches against Uruguay and 5 goals in 13 matches against Brazil to date. Statistically, the probability of scoring more than 3 goals is not more than 10%.

Of course, football is not just about statistics, but Messi's lower goal-scoring rate in national tournaments, not being in his former condition, and not being in match tempo for a while, do not significantly increase the probability of him scoring a total of 3 goals in these two matches to be played in November.
https://sportsbrief.com/football/53004-examining-lionel-messis-goal-tally-uruguay-brazil-argentinas-world-cup-qualifiers/

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I think that this would have to be 3 goals in 2 games, which would be way above average for the superstar:

1. His team has been eliminated from the MLS post-season

2. Argentina will play Uruguay and Brazil both in Nov 2023 - as 2026 World Cup qualifying matches.

3. Messi has averaged 13 goals across 26 games at the World Cup (or 1 goal / 2 games)

Definitely doable, but not 70% likely.