Did OpenAI make a breakthrough in Q* learning dramatically shortening AGI timelines?
Basic
10
Ṁ2232026
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve true if evidence shows that before Sam Altman was fired, OpenAI made a breakthrough in combining Q* learning with LLMs that led to discontinuous capabilities advance.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
33% chance
Does OpenAI's Q* 'breakthrough' represent a significant advance in AI capabilities?
84% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
44% chance
Is OpenAI's Q* real?
87% chance
Will OpenAI Release a Chatbot Using the Q* Algorithm in 2024
25% chance
Will the "OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI before 2025 end" market go below 10% before 2024 ends?
33% chance
[ACX 2024] Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?
21% chance
Did the board of OpenAI recieve a letter about the Q* AI 'breakthrough'?
49% chance
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
71% chance
when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?