How does this resolve if C-SPAN stops operating or stops publishing their surveys?

@TheMirrormancer - will resolve as N/A

Frankly I think this will resolve NO. I think he's top 2 or 3 worst. But to get below Buchanan you probably have to start a civil war. Not sure that will happen.

@Balasar yes it's basically inconceivable to me they rank him below buchanan saving a new civil war or a war with china. both which I find heavily unlikely in his term (although the latter more likely than former).

I think people who don't know many historians may have a warped view of these rankings

@Balasar I am not so sure - Buchanan seems to be considered bad for his inaction in face of an impeding crisis and some argue that he would do fine in a calmer period. Trump is choosing to very aggressively act and creates crises of his own...

@Balasar the attack on American institutions, the blatant corruption, the authoritarianism, and the economic incompetence of this government are truly unprecedented. Buchanan was a terrible president, but he did not create his crisis in the way Trump has.

@No_uh Some update on the civil war front seems to be in order

@AIBear did i miss some important news drop?

@No_uh Just the general escalation - deploying (perceived) "loyal" troops in (perceived) "disloyal" states seems to be a potential way towards a violent confrontation... So it seems to me a domestic conflict is now more likely for USA than it was before and then an armed confrontation with China is now.

@AIBear i see. i think we're trending in a bad direction too! but my personal prior estimations for a civil war during his presidency would've been like less than 5% and a war with china over taiwan maybe like 15%, so i still think i view an outbreak with china way more likely

regardless, I think the recession outlook is worse now than I anticipated. I think maybe by 2nd half next year the economy may stop looking so fine in any regard, unless we hit the agi super push in which case...... lmao

@AIBear if we're at 50% chance of a civil war then many Manifold users have more important things to do than buying YES on this market.

If tariffs go through this should be at 90%, if not hard to say. Right now I'm betting they go through.

if they NA him does the market get NAed too

@Marnix I would think that's a NO, since an NA rank is not being ranked as the worst

@cthor I'd disagree, since it's not a rank at all

@cthor i agree with NO. I predict that I will not be ranked as the best US president, since I'm not going to be the US president.

But I don't know why they'd N/A him.

Botted ass poll

Nvm