Will the Liberal Democratic Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next Japanese election?
Mini
5
65
2025
56%
chance

The next Japanese general elections must take place before the end of October, 2025. 233 seats are needed for a majority of seats in a 465 seat chamber.

If the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan wins enough seats for a majority at these elections, this question will resolve YES.

Note that seats won by coalition partners like Komeito will not count towards this total.

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