Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

Plus

315

Ṁ100k

9999

28%

J. D. Vance

19%

Gretchen Whitmer

18%

Marco Rubio

17%

Josh Shapiro

16%

Ruben Gallego

14%

Pete Buttigieg

13%

Gavin Newsom

11%

Glenn Youngkin

10%

Jon Ossoff

Nikki Haley

Tim Walz

Elise Stefanik

Vivek Ramaswamy

Cory Booker

Mark Kelly

Wes Moore

Ron DeSantis

Kamala Harris

Andy Beshear

Will Hurd

This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.

An answer resolves YES upon their presidential inauguration.

Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become president.

I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#️ Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#Future US Presidents

#Will They Be Leader Someday?

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bought Ṁ10 YES

He is on the record saying he aspires to be president.

@BTE but his eyes too readily betray the emptiness of his soul!

@jim Isn’t that like a prerequisite to being president? The soulless bit?

@jim

Somehow it all reminds me of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde

Is this meant to be Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro?

@Kraalnaxx What the heck, yes

How did no-one notice before now

@Tripping I must have read over that name dozens of times without noticing, spooky

Someone should open a market on whether at least one of these 100 people will become president, I am curious to find out what the overall percentage would be.

@Emanuele98 done
https://manifold.markets/mb/will-any-of-the-people-mentioned-in?r=bWI

@Emanuele98 multi choice version:

@Tripping https://manifold.markets/Tripping/how-many-of-the-original-100-answer

/jks/during-which-election-will-dwayne-t

Desantis being the same as Deval Patrick is mental

@Riley12 you can trade if you think it's out of whack

bought Ṁ20 YES

You think that's not out of whack? 😂

I did

I could see a few of these becoming president by there being a vacancy in the office of president. But not directly elected.

bought Ṁ40 NO

Gavin doesn't have the juice, sorry.

You can buy YES on this market?

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Joshua don't miss this opportunity to buy No shares at an 8% rate!

@ChrisMills That's right. He will never get the robot vote.

bought Ṁ1 NO

Once again, Aella is coming out ahead of Ted Cruz.

bought Ṁ3 NO

@HarrisonNathan In fairness I'd pick her over 90% of the candidates in this list.

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