Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election 🇺🇸 US Politics ️ Politics Future US Presidents Will They Be Leader Someday?

Basic

303

Ṁ86k

9999

ALL

55%

Kamala Harris

19%

Gretchen Whitmer

18%

Tim Walz

16%

Pete Buttigieg

16%

J. D. Vance

13%

Josh Shapiro

12%

Nikki Haley

11%

Glenn Youngkin

10%

Gavin Newsom

J. B. Pritzker

Raphael Warnock

Jon Ossoff

Marco Rubio

Elise Stefanik

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Ron DeSantis

Michael Bennet

Cory Booker

Mark Kelly

Wes Moore

This is a long term market intended for people to be able to see at a glance people who might have high future political potential.

An answer resolves YES upon their presidential inauguration.

Resolves NO upon their death if they have not become president.

I may edit or N/A added answers if they are e.g. duplicates, unclear, etc.

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bought Ṁ10 Answer #adcbcfed6de4 YES

He is on the record saying he aspires to be president.

@BTE but his eyes too readily betray the emptiness of his soul!

@jim Isn’t that like a prerequisite to being president? The soulless bit?

@jim

Somehow it all reminds me of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde

Josh Shapiro

Is this meant to be Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro?

@Kraalnaxx What the heck, yes

How did no-one notice before now

@Tripping I must have read over that name dozens of times without noticing, spooky

Someone should open a market on whether at least one of these 100 people will become president, I am curious to find out what the overall percentage would be.

@Emanuele98 done
https://manifold.markets/mb/will-any-of-the-people-mentioned-in?r=bWI

@Emanuele98 multi choice version:

@Tripping https://manifold.markets/Tripping/how-many-of-the-original-100-answer

/jks/during-which-election-will-dwayne-t

Desantis being the same as Deval Patrick is mental

@Riley12 you can trade if you think it's out of whack

bought Ṁ20 Ron DeSantis YES

You think that's not out of whack? 😂

I did

I could see a few of these becoming president by there being a vacancy in the office of president. But not directly elected.

bought Ṁ40 Gavin Newsom NO

Gavin doesn't have the juice, sorry.

You can buy YES on this market?

bought Ṁ10 Answer #0dd91c4bb717 NO

@Joshua don't miss this opportunity to buy No shares at an 8% rate!

@ChrisMills That's right. He will never get the robot vote.

bought Ṁ1 Answer #ac96843730c8 NO

Once again, Aella is coming out ahead of Ted Cruz.

bought Ṁ3 Answer #3747ab38ea09 NO

@HarrisonNathan In fairness I'd pick her over 90% of the candidates in this list.