How many of the original 100 answers in this market will become President of the United States?

Question

This is the market: https://manifold.markets/Tripping/who-will-be-the-president-of-the-un

This market will resolve once they have all either died or become president at some point.

The original 100 are:

Kamala Harris

Pete Buttigieg

Gretchen Whitmer

Gavin Newsom

Nikki Haley

Raphael Warnock

Ron DeSantis

Jeff Jackson

James Donaldson (MrBeast)

Mark Kelly

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Marco Rubio

Glenn Youngkin

J. D. Vance

Jon Ossoff

J. B. Pritzker

Andy Beshear

Jared Polis

Cory Booker

Vivek Ramaswamy

Tammy Duckworth

Maura Healey

Amy Klobuchar

Julian Castro

Deval Patrick

Ro Khanna

Joni Ernst

Kristi Noem

Kevin Stitt

Brian Kemp

Beto O'Rourke

Chris Coons

Wes Moore

Tammy Baldwin

Markwayne Mullin

Laphonza Butler

Gina Raimondo

Catherine Cortez Masto

Tim Scott

Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)

Katie Hobbs

Tim Kaine

Tom Cotton

Jon Stewart

Josh Shapiro

Kirsten Gillibrand

Katie Britt

Elise Stefanik

Lisa Murkowski

Chris Murphy

Michael Bennet

Tina Kotek

Josh Green

Chris Sununu

Tate Reeves

Will Hurd

Dan Crenshaw

Robert F. Kennedy Jr

Eric Schmitt

Stephen Curry

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Brian Schatz

Wayne Messam

Tim Walz

Eric Swalwell

Josh Hawley

Rand Paul

Mike Lee

Ted Cruz

Ben Shapiro

Joe Manchin

John Fetterman

Jay Inslee

Tucker Carlson

Marianne Williamson

Tulsi Gabbard

Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)

Michelle Obama

Bernie Sanders

Ezra Klein

Joe Rogan

Taylor Swift

Zendaya

Mark Zuckerberg

Dean Phillips

Matt Gaetz

Sam Altman

Al Gore

Spencer Cox

Mike Pence

Sarah Palin

Ivanka Trump

Andrew Yang

Kanye West

Scott Alexander

Stephen Colbert

Hillary Clinton

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Aella

Mitt Romney

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, At least 1, followed by At least 2 and At least 3 are most likely. See the market for live updates (30 traders, as of Mar 19, 2026).