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MANIFOLD
Will Canada's population decline?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ590
resolved Mar 18
Resolved
YES
In Q3 2025
Resolved
YES
In Q4 2025
Resolved
NO
In Q3 2024
Resolved
NO
In Q4 2024
Resolved
NO
In Q1 2025
Resolved
NO
In Q2 2025

This will resolve based on Statistics Canada's quarterly population estimates. Estimates indicate the estimated population on the first day of the quarter, so if the estimate for Q4 2025 is less than that for Q3 2025, then the entry for "In Q3 2025" will resolve YES. Numbers will be compared within the same table rather than against previous editions, i.e. if revisions happen we compare the latest quarter's number against the revised number.

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The population declined from 41,651,653 to 41,575,585 in Q3 2025, marking the first time this question resolved YES.

bought Ṁ3 YES

The population increased from 41,465,298 to 41,528,680 in Q4 2024 per https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1710000901, so In Q4 2024 resolves NO.

The population increased from 41,288,599 to 41,465,298 in Q3 2024 per https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=1710000901, so In Q3 2024 resolves NO.