Will the USA dissolve by 2034?
18
1kṀ19772034
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Analogous to the dissolution of the USSR, will the USA dissolve?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@Ivan102f Good question! My sense here is that the USA has not dissolved if there is still a globally recognized "government of the United States of America", so a single state seceding would be unlikely to cause that global shift.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
75% chance
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
6% chance
Will any US state secede before 2030?
15% chance
Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?
2% chance
Will the United States cease to be "free" before 2030?
16% chance
Will the USA be a democracy in 2040?
85% chance
Will the US be a democracy in 2035?
89% chance
Will there stop being 50 states in the USA before 2032?
18% chance
Will a US state attempt to leave the union by 2030?
9% chance
Will society collapse by 2040?
14% chance