What is the median probability of a God or gods existing according to Manifold?
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แน€260
resolved Apr 17
Resolved as
1.0%

One week from now I will post a poll asking people's probability assessment of the claim that "at least one entity properly referred to as a god exists". This market will resolve to the median assessment of the probability that a god or gods exist according to participating Manifold users.

In the poll, users will be encouraged to use whatever criteria and definitions seem correct to them.

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Hi all, I'm running a poll on this right now. I'll let it run for two weeks.

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