Would Manifold rather have 50% odds of winning $20K, or 1% odds of winning $1B? ๐ฒ๐ต
23
410แน1208resolved May 30
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%20%
50% odds of winning $20K
80%
1% odds of winning $1B
Suppose that the choice is offered to you out of the blue and for a brief moment, during which you cannot exchange with anyone. So for example, you cannot ask your wealthy friend to bankroll your roll of the dice. The choice is yours and yours only.
Resolves by poll created after closure.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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