Manifold users agree first announced AGI is AGI?
12
1kṀ1010
2035
36%
chance

If a major AI lab announces they have achieved AGI, a second market will be run, with the question “Is [claimed AGI] AGI by your definition?”

The second market will resolve one week after the claimed AGI becomes publicly accessible.

This market resolves to the same answer as the future market.

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Ṁ1,000
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