If safe-ish ASI is created, what percentage of major unsolved physics problems will it solve within a year?
57%
chance

Artificial superintelligence (ASI) here means any artificial intelligence able to carry out any cognitive task better than 100% of the unenhanced biological human population.

Safe-ish ASI here means ASI that does not wipe out humanity.

Major unsolved physics problems here means those mentioned on the following webpages as of 2024 that haven't yet been solved at the time of creation of ASI:

If there is ongoing academic controversy and lack of consensus about whether a given problem is actually solved, that problem will contribute a fraction of its assigned percentage to the resolution, equal to the fraction of academic support if possible, half otherwise.

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Mass redundancy of intelligentsia go brrrrrrrrrr

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