Will 50% or more of the Erdos problems be solved at the end of 2030?
12
Ṁ100Ṁ7362030
98%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.erdosproblems.com/
There are 1217 problems in the database of which 529 (43%) have been solved as of market creation
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Which Erdos Problems will be solved before October 2026?
How many total Erdos Problems will be solved by the end of the year?
771
How many Erdős Problems will be solved by the end of 2026?
171
How many Erdős problems will be marked solved on erdosproblems.com at the end of 2026?
Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026
Will I solve an Erdos problem?
7% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
13% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
68% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
44% chance
Will the Goldbach conjecture be solved by the end of 2030?
19% chance