Will 50% or more of the Erdos problems be solved at the end of 2030?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ6892030
98%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.erdosproblems.com/
There are 1217 problems in the database of which 529 (43%) have been solved as of market creation
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will chess be solved by 2040?
14% chance
Which Erdos Problems will be solved before October 2026?
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
53% chance
Will a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
43% chance
How many Erdős Problems will be solved by the end of 2026?
161
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
39% chance
Number of open Erdös problems resolved in 2026
Will I solve an Erdos problem?
6% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
10% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
50% chance