Will the Machine Intelligence Research Institute exist in 2030?
13
58
Ṁ441Ṁ320
2030
73%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
46% chance
Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?
43% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?
18% chance
Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)
64% chance
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2100?
75% chance
Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?
43% chance
Will AI create philosophy before 2030?
74% chance
Will a purely AI-based news agency exist by the year 2030?
81% chance
Will an AI play a pivotal role in solving an important political issue by 2033?
73% chance
Will AI surpass humans in conducting scientific research by 2030?
34% chance