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MANIFOLD
What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?
47
Ṁ1.4kṀ1.9k
2031
25%
NVIDIA
16%
Anthropic
14%
OpenAI
14%
Other
12%
DeepMind
3%
Microsoft
3%
Alibaba
2%
Meta
1.9%
DeepSeek
1.8%
xAI
1.7%
Safe Superintelligence Inc
1.6%
Google
1.6%
None (No AI labs exist)
1%
US Government

2022 would resolve as OpenAI, Stability.AI, Deepmind

Based on social media buzz, search trends, etc. — i.e. purely on buzz/prestige

50/30/20 resolution to the most impactful in public opinion during the year

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@Gigacasting geometry dash by 2030 comparable to humans? Bro chat gpt is smarter than anyone I've ever met already. What do you mean?