What will average US tariffs be at the start of 2026?
13
Ṁ225Ṁ1.2kApr 7
14.4 %
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.8%
0 - 1.5%
0.8%
1.5 - 3%
1.6%
3% - 4%
1.7%
4% - 6%
4%
6% - 10%
89%
10% - 20%
0.8%
20% - 30%
0.8%
Above 30%
Resolves according to https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e
Update 2026-03-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the Q1 2026 average tariff figure from the FRED data source.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Tetraspace
How do you determine value "at the start of 2026"?
Seems like q1 2026 figure is average over Q1 so do you average 2026 q1 with 2025 Q4 figure to get an approximation of the value at the start of 2026?