
Will US tariffs go up in 2025 iff Trump wins? (Up if Trump wins, or down if not.)
21
1kแน34262026
92%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve exactly according to these two underlying markets:
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
/EvanDaniel/will-us-tariffs-be-higher-in-2025-t
This will resolve Yes if Trump wins and tariffs go up, or if Trump loses and they don't.
This will resolve No if Trump loses and tariffs go up, or if he wins and they don't.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?
22% chance
If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?
16% chance
Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
92% chance
If Trump wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?
32% chance
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
15% chance
What will be the effective US tariff rate for Chinese imports in the second half of 2025?
If Trump wins the 2024 election, will he enact a 10% tariff on most imported goods?
24% chance
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. in 2025
85% chance
Will there be a stock market crash attributed to a Trump tariff in 2025?
33% chance