
Will US tariffs go up in 2025 iff Trump wins? (Up if Trump wins, or down if not.)
23
1kαΉ9806Apr 3
98.9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve exactly according to these two underlying markets:
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
/EvanDaniel/will-us-tariffs-be-higher-in-2025-t
This will resolve Yes if Trump wins and tariffs go up, or if Trump loses and they don't.
This will resolve No if Trump loses and tariffs go up, or if he wins and they don't.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
99% chance
How high will the US tariff rate get in 2025?
What will average US tariffs be at the start of 2026?
12.6
Will tariffs in Q4 2025 be below what they were in Q4 2024?
2% chance
πΊπΈ If Trump wins, will the US electoral democracy index fall below 0.80 by 2025?
80% chance
If Trump wins, will the US suicide rate decrease between his inauguration and the 2026 Midterms?
36% chance
Will a PS5 cost >%10 more to US consumers as a result of tariffs before the 2026 US midterms?
30% chance
If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?
5% chance
If Trump wins, what will the US unemployment rate be at the end of 2026?
50% chance