Will tariffs in Q4 2025 be below what they were in Q4 2024?
5
100Ṁ665May 1
1.8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
99% chance
What will average US tariffs be at the start of 2026?
12.6
How high will the US tariff rate get in 2025?
Will US tariffs go up in 2025 iff Trump wins? (Up if Trump wins, or down if not.)
99% chance
US effective tariff rate in Q4 2026?
-1.1
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 come in at or above 5%?
27% chance
Conditional on Trump imposing large tariffs in his first year, will the CPI-U for January 2026 be ≥332?
51% chance
Will the tariffs be successful in bringing back manufacturing to the US ? (2026)
2.5
Will a PS5 cost >%10 more to US consumers as a result of tariffs before the 2026 US midterms?
30% chance
Average tariffs under Trump