If the filibuster is ended by the midterms, what will the outcome of the 2026 US House and Senate elections be?
3
Ṁ125Ṁ439Nov 3
9%
R House, R Senate
39%
D House, R Senate
1.8%
R House, D Senate
50%
D House, D Senate
0.6%
Resolves N/A if the filibuster is not ended by the midterms. Otherwise, resolves at the parties that have a majority in the House and Senate, respectively.
If the Senate is 50-50, resolves R Senate.
If neither the Republican nor Democratic Caucuses have a majority in a chamber, resolves at the party of the majority leader in that chamber.
Resolves "other" if these conditions are somehow impossible to apply (e.g. independent majority leader, no midterms, house or senate no longer exist, all the congresspeople are abducted by aliens).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
17% chance
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
83% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
50% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
50% chance
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?