If the Conservatives get ≥100 seats in the next general election, will the PM at the end of 2027 be Labour?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ192027
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the PM at the end of 2027 is Labour and Conservatives get ≥100 seats in the next general election; resolves NO if the PM at the end of 2027 isn't Labour, and N/A if Labour doesn't get ≥100 seats in the next GE.
Beware the order of the events; the next GE might occur before or after the end of 2027, which affects the causation but not the logic of the resolution.
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