MANIFOLD
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 10k)?
15
Ṁ1.2kṀ6.5k
Mar 20
14,472 deaths
expected
0.1%
0 - 99
0.1%
100 - 499
0.4%
500 - 999
1.2%
1,000 - 4,999
4%
5,000 - 9,999
94%
10,000+

Resolution criteria

Resolves by the same standards as this market but with different buckets.

Market context
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