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MANIFOLD
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 5k)?
13
Ṁ275Ṁ2.1k
resolved Mar 20
Resolved
Over 5,000
100%96%
Over 5,000
0.2%
Under 1,000
0.1%
1,000 - 1,499
0.2%
1,500 - 1,999
0.2%
2,000 - 2,499
0.4%
2,500 - 2,999
0.7%
3,000 - 3,499
0.8%
3,500 - 3,999
0.9%
4,000 - 4,499
0.9%
4,500 - 5,000

Resolution criteria

Resolves by the same standards as this market but with different buckets.

Market context
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The Wikipedia infobox has:

Death: 7,015–36,500+

The conservative estimate given here is 7,015.

Current count appears to be 4,902.

bought Ṁ10 YES

It's over 25000 already.

Resolve please

@Alva This would not yet resolve as over 5,000 per the conditions of the original market as it currently stands. Condition a) does not fulfill 5,000+, so per condition b), the current count is 2,615.