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MANIFOLD
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 100k)?
21
Ṁ300Ṁ3.6k
resolved Mar 20
Resolved
Below 10,000
100%20%
Below 10,000
8%
10,000 - 19,999
5%
20,000 - 29,999
10%
30,000 - 39,999
10%
40,000 - 49,999
12%
50,000 - 59,999
7%
60,000 - 69,999
6%
70,000 - 79,999
7%
80,000 - 89,999
8%
90,000 - 100,000
7%
Above 100,000

Resolution criteria

It is certainly not cheerful to be continuously recreating this market with higher and higher buckets.

Resolves by the same standards as this market but with different buckets.

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The Wikipedia infobox has:

Death: 7,015–36,500+

The conservative estimate given here is 7,015.