Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Texas run out of water before 2030?
10
á¹€1ká¹€949
2029
39%
chance

The Texas Water Development Board projects that towns and cities could be on a path toward a severe shortage of water by 2030.

This market resolves YES if Texas (or a major water authority) issues a formal drought/water emergency declaration that includes restrictions or major water provider(s) publicly announces inability to meet demand, rationing or interruptions for a period of at least 14 consecutive days.

Market context
AI
Energy
United States
Climate
Texas
Get
á¹€1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

This reminds me of hosepipe bans in England over the hottest parts of out summer, but they are occasional and expected, rather than emergency.

People are also trading

Will Corpus Christi "run out of water" by the end of 2030?
43% chance
Will Texas secede from the United States by 2030?
2% chance
Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?
56% chance
Will Texas have a greater population than California before 2030?
15% chance
Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?
14% chance
Will 2,500+ people die of heat in Texas in a single week before 2032?
7% chance
Will a Democratic presidential candidate win Texas before 2033?
41% chance
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2030?
45% chance
Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030?
58% chance
Will there be a high-speed rail line in Texas before 2030?
4% chance