Who will achieve a majority at the 2024 Tasmanian state election?
9
110
365
resolved Mar 23
100%68%
No party will achieve a majority
27%
Liberal Party of Australia (Tasmanian Division)
3%
Australian Labor Party (Tasmanian Branch)
1.2%
Jacqui Lambie Network
0.7%Other

An election will be held in Tasmania's House of Assembly on the 23rd of March, 2024. This election will be the first since 1998 to see the five electoral divisions each elect seven members instead of five. The major parties are Liberal and Labor, with the Greens regularly receiving a few seats.

To have a majority, a party must win eighteen of the thirty-five available seats.

Market will be resolved when it is clear that a party will or will not achieve a majority. (This could happen quickly or take several days. Postal votes can arrive at the Commission any time before 10am on the 2nd of April, after which the full distribution occurs.)

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Frankly I'll be surprised if they even put up enough candidates to try for majority. But no, no chance of this.

@Tantusar Can confirm 12 is less than 18.

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