
Will the recent change to the law on federal election that just passed the Bundestag be overturned by the Federal Court?
10
170Ṁ360Sep 30
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The new law is said to favour the currently governing parties and Die Linke and die CSU want to file a constitutional complaint.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?
33% chance
Will the German Constitutional Court restrict Björn Höcke's basic rights?
Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
46% chance
Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)
68% chance
Who will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
15% chance
Will the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?
33% chance
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
54% chance
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
13% chance
Will the German federal government survive its full 4-year term?
38% chance