Will Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?

Question

Sahra Wagenknecht's BSW party intends to call Germany's Federal Constinutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) after the party very narrowly missed out on reaching the necessary 5% of votes in the last election to get seats in the federal parliament.

What will be the outcome with regards to a recount?

If the court rules that BSW gets parliament seats without a recount, or something similar, this still resolves "No". The question only refers to the court's ruling in terms of a recount. (So whether that recount ends up happening is also irrelevant)

See this other market for the outcome of a recount if it ends up taking place: https://manifold.markets/ADings/if-germanys-2025-election-votes-are

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, No, followed by Yes, partial recount and Neither (e. g. court stays neutral and refers the case back to parliament, or no verdict happens before the next election) are most likely. See the market for live updates (9 traders, as of Jul 21, 2026).

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