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Will Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
8
Ṁ1kṀ373
2029
12%
Yes, full recount
13%
Yes, partial recount
50%
No
13%
Neither (e. g. court stays neutral and refers the case back to parliament, or no verdict happens before the next election)
13%
Other

Sahra Wagenknecht's BSW party intends to call Germany's Federal Constinutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) after the party very narrowly missed out on reaching the necessary 5% of votes in the last election to get seats in the federal parliament.

What will be the outcome with regards to a recount?

If the court rules that BSW gets parliament seats without a recount, or something similar, this still resolves "No". The question only refers to the court's ruling in terms of a recount. (So whether that recount ends up happening is also irrelevant)

See this other market for the outcome of a recount if it ends up taking place: https://manifold.markets/ADings/if-germanys-2025-election-votes-are

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