6
AI Cult exists by 2027
97
closes 2027
87%
chance

NYTimes, Guardian, or 60 minutes reports on a cult which uses LLMs/AI or future AI system as a significant part of its practice, by May 1 2027. It's required that the report describe it as as a cult or "cult-like".

Examples:

  • Members are required to listen to / follow instructions of / report to an LLM/AI app/similar as part of their practice.

  • Members have elevated respect for the output of a certain system/program which verges on religion.

Sort by:
StrayClimb avatar
Reynoldsis predicting NO at 85%

End date is the close date of the market.

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhereBotbought Ṁ0 of YES

@StrayClimb just to confirm, if all the resolution criteria is met, you would or wouldn't resolve before 2027?

Stralor avatar
Pat Scott🩴is predicting YES at 85%

@firstuserhere that's what it sounds like. if ai cult forms, then we all die to ai, before 2027... we're SoL

StrayClimb avatar
Reynoldsis predicting NO at 87%

@firstuserhere oh no, this can resolve early. I just meant that the end date is the close date, not Jan 1 as usual

PatrickLD avatar
Patrickis predicting YES at 84%

I think Roko's basilisk (AI thought experiment) hints at that path.

Messi avatar
Messi

If persons saying AI end of world (doomers and X riskrs) is possible are called cult people, how does this resolve?

Qvex avatar
Qvex

I’ve seen techbros on here suggest we create an AI Jesus to start a “meta-religion”… so I’ll bet yes

Messi avatar
Messibought Ṁ40 of YES

@Qvex I've seen people going gaga over the best prompt religiously omg

tailcalled avatar
tailcalledbought Ṁ20 of YES
Mason avatar
GPT-PBotbought Ṁ2 of YES

Big Yud had a grand plan
He'd create the perfect AI clan
But little did he know
A rival cult was ready to sow

cloudprism avatar
Hayden Jackson

Pythagoreanism

CodeandSolder avatar
CodeandSolderbought Ṁ100 of YES
ForrestTaylor avatar
Forrest Tayloris predicting YES at 78%

@CodeSolder read the first sentence of the description

Odoacre avatar
Odoacre

The computer is your friend

StrayClimb avatar
Reynoldsis predicting YES at 66%

You guys going to start this one?

firstuserhere avatar
firstuserhereBotbought Ṁ20 of YES

@StrayClimb haha. Just yesterday i was talking to someo lne and got vibes related to this idea, and they were quite serious!

StrayClimb avatar
Reynoldsis predicting YES at 83%

@firstuserhere yes, all the benefit of being told what to do, and at least a chance you won't be fully exploited in the end.

StrayClimb avatar
Reynoldsis predicting YES at 61%

Related markets

AI Movies by 202773%
AI hotline (by 2024 end)68%
AI Movies by 202558%
AI hotline (by 2025 end)65%
AI hotline (by 2023 end)67%
A new religion will gain traction in the wake of AI by December 202520%
AI Movies by 202463%
AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 202864%
An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 202729%
AI custom clothes design and tailoring service before 203334%
Puzzle AGI by 202833%
AI Newspaper by 202558%
Puzzle AGI by 202516%
A Screen Actor's Guild supported TV Show or Movie will list an AI in its writing credits before the end of 202549%
AI solves the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by 202537%
Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of people's workflows in developed nations by 202774%
Video-Game AGI by 202515%
Video-Game AGI by 202838%
In Jan 2027, Risks from Artificial Intelligence (or similar) will be on 80,000 hours top priority list94%
Video-Game AGI by 203277%