Will the population of Northern Africa and Western Asia (combined) exceed 780 million this century?
2
70Ṁ102100
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
While researching further out data for /Stralor/will-climate-change-decimate-humans-9f63de4b27a2 and /Stralor/will-climate-change-decimate-humans-a6501c666cd9 , I noticed that the UN had projections for what level the populations of various regions will cap out at. Will these medium-case projections be exceeded?
The relevant section from the 2022 UN Projections:
While population growth in Northern Africa and Western Asia has been slower than in sub-Saharan Africa in recent decades, the region is also projected to continue to grow through the end of this century, adding 221 million people between 2022 and 2050 and another 174 million people between 2050 and 2100.
(This brings their projected total to 771 million)
Markets in this series:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the population of Europe and Northern America (combined) exceed 1.15 billion this century?
44% chance
Will the population of Central and Southern Asia exceed 2.75 billion this century?
55% chance
Will the population of Eastern and South-Eastern Asia exceed 2.45 billion this century?
55% chance
Will the population of Sub-Saharan Africa exceed 3.5 billion this century?
15% chance
Will the population of Latin America and the Caribbean (combined) exceed 760 million this century?
55% chance
Will the world population ever surpass 20 billion before 2075?
18% chance
By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
77% chance
Will the population of Oceania, including Australia and New Zealand, exceed 72 million this century?
40% chance
Will there be over 9 billion people by 2037?
45% chance
Will the total world population peak before the end of 2090?
71% chance