Will the population of Europe and Northern America (combined) exceed 1.15 billion this century?
Basic
4
Ṁ442100
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
While researching further out data for /Stralor/will-climate-change-decimate-humans-9f63de4b27a2 and /Stralor/will-climate-change-decimate-humans-a6501c666cd9 , I noticed that the UN had projections for what level the populations of various regions will cap out at. Will these medium-case projections be exceeded?
The relevant section from the 2022 UN Projections:
The combined population of Europe and Northern America is stabilizing, having reached 1.12 billion in 2022 and, according to the medium scenario, projected to grow slowly to just under 1.13 billion around 2038 and decline thereafter to about 1.0 billion at the end of the century.
Markets in this series:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
77% chance
Will the population of Northern Africa and Western Asia (combined) exceed 780 million this century?
41% chance
Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?
39% chance
Will the world population ever surpass 20 billion before 2075?
19% chance
Will the total world population peak over 10.5 billion?
61% chance
Will the population of Eastern and South-Eastern Asia exceed 2.45 billion this century?
55% chance
Will the population of Latin America and the Caribbean (combined) exceed 760 million this century?
55% chance
Will the population of Central and Southern Asia exceed 2.75 billion this century?
55% chance
Will the world population reach 8.5 billion?
61% chance
Will the human population exceed 9 billion by the year 2035?
43% chance