Will the population of Oceania, including Australia and New Zealand, exceed 72 million this century? | Manifold

Will the population of Oceania, including Australia and New Zealand, exceed 72 million this century?

Basic

3

Ṁ20

2100

40%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

While researching further out data for /Stralor/will-climate-change-decimate-humans-9f63de4b27a2 and /Stralor/will-climate-change-decimate-humans-a6501c666cd9 , I noticed that the UN had projections for what level the populations of various regions will cap out at. Will these medium-case projections be exceeded?

The relevant section from the 2022 UN Projections:

The population of Oceania is projected to continue to grow through the end of the century. The total population of the region, excluding Australia and New Zealand, is expected to increase from 13.6 million in 2022 to 19.6 million in 2050 and 24.6 million in 2100. Australia and New Zealand, which are home to 31.2 million people in 2022, could see their population grow to 38.1 million in 2050 and 44.2 million in 2100, according to the medium scenario.

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Related questions

Will the UK population exceed 70 million before 2035?

Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?

Will Australia have more than 30 million people according to the 2031 Australian Census?

Will the population of Europe and Northern America (combined) exceed 1.15 billion this century?

Will the population of Northern Africa and Western Asia (combined) exceed 780 million this century?

Will the population of Eastern and South-Eastern Asia exceed 2.45 billion this century?

Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Oceania before 2030?

By 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?

Will there be over 9 billion people by 2037?

Will the population of Central and Southern Asia exceed 2.75 billion this century?

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