Will the population of Central and Southern Asia exceed 2.75 billion this century?
Basic
2
Ṁ5
2100
55%
chance

While researching further out data for /Stralor/will-climate-change-decimate-humans-9f63de4b27a2 and /Stralor/will-climate-change-decimate-humans-a6501c666cd9 , I noticed that the UN had projections for what level the populations of various regions will cap out at. Will these medium-case projections be exceeded?

The relevant section from the 2022 UN Projections:

Eastern and South-Eastern Asia is projected to reach a maximum population size of 2.4 billion around 2034 and the population of Central and Southern Asia is projected to peak some 38 years later at 2.7 billion around 2072.


Markets in this series:

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules