Will the population of Central and Southern Asia exceed 2.75 billion this century?
Will the population of Central and Southern Asia exceed 2.75 billion this century?
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While researching further out data for /Stralor/will-climate-change-decimate-humans-9f63de4b27a2 and /Stralor/will-climate-change-decimate-humans-a6501c666cd9 , I noticed that the UN had projections for what level the populations of various regions will cap out at. Will these medium-case projections be exceeded?
The relevant section from the 2022 UN Projections:
Eastern and South-Eastern Asia is projected to reach a maximum population size of 2.4 billion around 2034 and the population of Central and Southern Asia is projected to peak some 38 years later at 2.7 billion around 2072.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
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Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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