Will Alcatraz Island house a functioning prison with inmates by the end of Trump's second term in office?
22
Ṁ100Ṁ1.6k2029
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
Was later than this post by 90 mins, for some reason it didn't come up in search: https://manifold.markets/KevinBurke/alcatraz-holds-ten-federal-inmates
People are also trading
Related questions
Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?
8% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2026?
1% chance
If there are 100+ inmates at alligator alcatraz will there be a prison break of 1 or more inmates by end of 2027?
43% chance
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
6% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2029?
5% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2028?
1% chance
If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
72% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027?
1% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
8% chance
Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026?
16% chance