
Will a research base be established in the deep sea before Mars?
16
1kṀ7672041
71%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be:
built
fixed in place (not mobile)
staffed, at least occasionally
begin operations
Deep Sea: 200 meters or deeper
Mars: on surface
More strict version: /Stralor/will-a-permanent-research-base-be-e
Close time is subject to change as needed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we discover life on Mars before 2026?
2% chance
Will a permanent research base be established in the deep sea before Mars?
67% chance
Will the first self-sustaining base on Mars begin being established within 20 years as Elon Musk says?
17% chance
Will humans establish a permanent colony in Mars by 2040?
30% chance
Will life be found in the deep biosphere of any other solar system bodies before 2035?
6% chance
Will the first human habitat on Mars be on the surface?
87% chance
Will it be scientific consensus that there is currently microscopic life on Mars by 2034?
16% chance
Will alien biological material be found on Mars by 2025?
3% chance
Will the International Seabed Authority issue a deep sea mining (exploitation) license before 2026?
58% chance
Will the first 10 person, 1 year human habitat on Mars be on the surface?
65% chance