Will the first 10 person, 1 year human habitat on Mars be on the surface?
10
13
1k
2100
65%
chance

Once there has been a stationary location in which at least 10 people lived on Mars for at least an Earth year, this market resolves based on where that habitat was located. (It's ok if it was <10 people for short periods of time.)

Inspired by #7 here.

See also this market about a smaller habitat:

Get Ṁ600 play money
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Will the first 10 person, 1 year human habitat on Mars be on the surface?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition