![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FStralor%252F25c872ed2b27.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will a permanent research base be established in the deep sea before Mars?
Basic
14
Ṁ2202041
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be:
built
fixed in place (not mobile)
have facilities for long-term habitation
staffed, permanently ("year-round")
begin operations
Deep Sea: 200 meters or deeper
Mars: on surface
Less strict version: /Stralor/will-a-research-base-be-established
Close time is subject to change as needed.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will a research base be established in the deep sea before Mars?
66% chance
Will humans establish a permanent colony in Mars by 2040?
39% chance
Will there be a permanently inhabited Moon base by 2040?
31% chance
When will there be people living permanently on mars?
Will evidence of life be discovered on Mars before 2040?
22% chance
Will there be a martian colony by 2050?
32% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2045?
58% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2050?
62% chance
By 2100, will there be scientific consensus of past or present life on Mars?
30% chance
Will there be a permanent population in Antarctica before a semipermanent population on the moon?
29% chance