Will the first self-sustaining base on Mars begin being established within 20 years as Elon Musk says?
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resolve YES if a starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2044 with the parts and/or people necessary to establish a permanent city or base
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How does this resolve if SpaceX is rapidly overtaken and made redundant by the first ASI (possibly from X AI but probably from other companies), which starts single-handedly designing, building, and launching missions to build self-sustaining mars bases?
Also does base in this context require biological humans or would any structure housing mobile beings such as AI drones also count?
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