(Forbes article about his post)

Will it happen? If it does what will be true?

For ease of common parlance, "stimulus check" in this market is referring to the "dividends" of his post. If this becomes a completely unsustainable metaphor, some answers may need to resolve or be rewritten.

Will resolve to best reporting, at latest by the end of his time in office or within a few months after the checks go out to let news stories shake loose. If the check doesn't materialize before he leaves office, answers that are able to will resolve to YES or NO rather than N/A. (If that happens, I hope it's clear that most would resolve NO, but I imagine "All for the same amount" probably has to resolve N/A since it can be easily read as YES and NO if there are no checks)

Clarifications:

• Because this "resolves to best reporting", the answer to most clarifying questions about "What does 'some' or 'significant' mean?" is: does the news report on it as a big deal?

• The base value of the dividend per person is what matters. If you can get $2000 cash but also have options for a $2100 tax credit or a $1900 instant deposit, that's a $2000 check

• If the base value of the checks don't end up being the same per person and end up straddling over one of the options, the option resolves to the percent across the line (say 20% of receivers only get $100 and the other 80% get $300, then "≥$200" resolves to 80%)

• "non-citizens or non-existent persons" is intentionally broad to include companies, AIs, and fraud

AI Gibberish Area, occasionally deleted:

• Update 2025-11-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For answers involving limits or thresholds: actual reality takes precedence over announced intent. The market will resolve based on what actually gets implemented, not just what Trump announces.