Will Trump's tariffs war be seen to have been a success by a plurality of Americans by 2026?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ449resolved Jan 1
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Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if by the end of 2026, a plurality (the largest group, though not necessarily a majority) of Americans view Donald Trump's tariff policies as a success according to credible national polls (I will take the median position if multiple polls address the same question). It resolves NO if a plurality view them as unsuccessful or if no credible polls exist by the resolution date. I will resolve the question based on the polls conducted closest to the closing date of the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@HankyUSA Ah, I hadn't realised that I wrote "end of 2026" in the description when I resolved. I put the end date as Jan 1, 2026. Apologies for the inconsistencies. It would have been better to stick to the description.
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