Trader beware! This is one of my formerly infamous "inverting resolutions" markets. We're trying to measure the counterfactual without relying on a high chance of N/A. Are these two events at all vaguely correlated?
Resolution:
If both are true: YES
If one is true, one is false: NO
If both are false: YES
I will resolve according to the decisions made in these markets:
/Bandors/halflife-3-confirmed-by-eoy
/AlexanderTheGreater/military-conflict-between-the-us-an
If one of those N/As, I'll try to find a near-equivalent to replace it.
If you want to read more about how to read and bet effectively on a market like this and an analysis of the math behind it, check out my old /Stralor/inversion-resolutions-what-would-be
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ945 | |
| 2 | Ṁ495 | |
| 3 | Ṁ72 | |
| 4 | Ṁ44 | |
| 5 | Ṁ44 |
People are also trading
I, too, enjoy this market format.
Does the chronological order of these events matter? Or are we truly just applying the XNOR to these two input states?
