Half-Life 3 confirmed by EOY?
420
2kแน€210k
Dec 30
27%
chance
12

This market resolves YES if Valve themselves confirm half life 3 is in development before January 1st 2026.

  • Update 2025-11-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if Valve announces a game called "Half-Life" (even without a number like "3") that is widely regarded as a sequel to the events after Half-Life 2. The creator will use their judgment to determine if this criterion is met.

  • Update 2025-11-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A prequel or side story will not qualify for YES resolution. The game must be a meaningful continuation of the events following Half-Life 2 (not just a brief story segment like the ending of Half-Life: Alyx).

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As a zoomer, literally my only knowledge of the Half Life franchise is that there is no Half Life 3 but people really REALLY want there to be. For all I know the main character is called John Halflife and his most iconic line is "hehe, your lives are about to get halved".

With that in mind, my super reliable prediction is that in the original timeline it did actually come out, but it was sooooo bad (as many sequels are, think Game Of Thrones S8, Star Wars TLJ, Joker 2, Megamind 2, Jaws 4 etc.) that people invented time travel for the sole purpose of going back and preventing it ever coming into existence.

@TheAllMemeingEye

His name is Gordon Freeman, and heโ€™s mute.

The rest was more or less correct though.

@snazzlePop man I loved his character in Se7en

@TheAllMemeingEye Freeman is a pretty cool guy. Eh kills aleins and doesnt afraid of anything.

@snazzlePop I hear his only fear is kephalopods (they still only use 10% of the brain, but they have several brains)

No news doesn't move me till mid-December

I won't start significantly updating down on lack of news until like mid-December

@snazzlePop meme so old it outlasted E3 itself

opened a แน€211 YES at 25% order

@snazzlePop almost literally YES considering robin's age lol

mike straw is still saying 2025

so lemme get this straight... the original discussions which originated this hype into the market mostly(not exclusively) centered around a nov 19th big moment....

and now it has pretty much come and passed and the market still sits at 34%? what are we doing here

bought แน€100 NO

@No_uh Could be an internal bottleneck chief.

@Predictor you buying no has just made me feel extremely woozy

@No_uh also as the biggest YES holder let me say that i was never big on any particular date in the first place other than sometime 2025

opened a แน€150 YES at 25% order

WAIT WHATTTTT

half-life playlist on valves youtube channel updated with a private video. hopium

bought แน€4,000 NO

bought แน€200 NO

N.E.H

bought แน€50 NO

nothing ever happens gang

@Stralor out of curiosity, why the big switch?

if you got any insider news don't say details, i think valve is canary trapping people

@Robincvgr yeah I agree. no insider news, but I had already decided to switch before @RuckermanPuzgd said something yesterday and needed to bait out some position to not bleed all my mana. I'm not convinced it's true, but I'm strongly leaning "it's possible" in a way I refused to consider before

@Stralor I will say I also feel like an idiot. I actually applied for a job with Valve recently for completely unrelated reasons and now it must seem like I'm some kind of clout chaser to them which is basically antithetical to how I operate. Terrible timing ๐Ÿ˜…

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