Home State of 2028 US Election Vice-Presidential Winner
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Plus
1
Ṁ110
2029
7%
Texas
7%
Pennsylvania
7%
Georgia
6%
Arizona
6%
Michigan
5%
North Carolina
5%
Wisconsin
5%
California
5%
Ohio
4%
Other
4%
Kentucky
4%
Virginia
4%
Florida
4%
New York
4%
Illinois
4%
Massachusetts
4%
South Carolina
4%
New Jersey
4%
Minnesota
4%
Colorado

Presidential Winner

Feel free to add your any other states!

Background

The 2028 vice presidential selection will likely be influenced by electoral strategy, geographic balance, and the presidential nominee's home state. Current potential presidential contenders include Gavin Newsom (CA), Josh Shapiro (PA), and JD Vance (OH) among others. Historically, running mates are often chosen from different states than the presidential nominee to broaden electoral appeal and avoid constitutional complications.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the home state of the winning vice presidential candidate in the 2028 US presidential election, if there is a clear consensus winner on election week, otherwise whoever is inaugurated on 1/20/2029

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“Home state” refer to residency and not birthplace, correct?

@jks let me confer with the person who made the president market I shamelessly copied but yeah I'm guessing residency and will update once they agree

My back of the envelope math says the 20 states listed above make up about 75% of Americans and the 30 comprising “Other” make up about 25% of the population.

yeah but you can throw out Idaho

@StopPunting 🫡 🥔➡️🗑️

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