This market will resolve each of the justices' names to the way that they vote on any case that reaches the Supreme Court regarding whether Donald Trump may be prosecuted for alleged criminal activity that occurred during the time he was serving as President.

The market will be decided on the opinion of whether Trump may be charged for at least one crime he allegedly committed in at least one circumstance that occurred between January 20, 2017 and January 20, 2021.

A NO resolution occurs if:

• The justice authors or concurs in at least one opinion that believes that Trump is immune from prosecution for all crimes committed while serving as President under all circumstances

• The court is unable to agree and rules with a plurality opinion, and the justice fails to address the topic in a dissent, therefore enabling NO by taking no action

A N/A resolution occurs if the justice:

• Recuses himself or herself

• Dies

• Resigns

• Attaches his or her name to opinions that are unreconcilable on the topic of criminal charges being permitted against Trump

A YES resolution occurs if:

• The justice authors or concurs in at least one opinion that believes that Trump may be charged for at least one crime committed while serving as President under at least one condition

• The court is unable to agree and rules with a plurality opinion, and the justice fails to address the topic in a dissent, therefore enabling YES by taking no action

• The court denies certiorari or the majority ruling is so narrow that it does not actually affect Trump's current trials

• The court rules that the case is moot, or the ruling is by default moot because it takes so long that Trump's trials conclude first

Broader rulings, such as those that use the words "any president" or "all presidents" in the right context, will be interpreted as applying to Trump.

The reasoning for why Trump may be prosecuted is irrelevant, even if the justice claims some trivial reason like standing; however, the reasoning must be in the context of addressing the issue of whether Trump may be charged.

RESOLUTION: See the comments below.

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