Will each Supreme Court justice vote to allow Trump full and unconditional access to Colorado's ballot?
115
7.7kṀ110k
resolved Mar 5
Resolved
YES
Samuel Alito
Resolved
YES
Amy Coney Barrett
Resolved
YES
Neil Gorsuch
Resolved
YES
John Roberts
Resolved
YES
Sonia Sotomayor
Resolved
YES
Clarence Thomas
Resolved
YES
Ketanji Jackson
Resolved
YES
Elena Kagan
Resolved
YES
Brett Kavanaugh

This market will resolve each of the justices' names to the way that they vote on any case that reaches the Supreme Court regarding Trump's access to the Colorado ballot due to the 14th Amendment to the United States Constitution.

The market will be decided on the opinion of whether Trump is ineligible for at least one election in the state of Colorado under any potential circumstance.

A NO resolution occurs if:

  • The justice authors or concurs in at least one opinion that believes that Trump is ineligible for any reason or with any condition

  • The court is unable to agree and rules with a plurality opinion making Trump ineligible, and the justice fails to address the topic in a dissent, therefore enabling NO by taking no action

  • The court allows the existing lower court ruling to stand by denying certiorari

A N/A resolution occurs if the justice:

  • Recuses himself or herself

  • Dies

  • Resigns

  • Attaches his or her name to opinions that are unreconcilable on the topic of ballot access in Colorado

A YES resolution occurs if:

  • The justice authors or concurs in at least one opinion that believes that Trump is eligible to appear on the ballot under all conditions

  • The court is unable to agree and rules with a plurality opinion making Trump eligible, and the justice fails to address the topic in a dissent, therefore enabling YES by taking no action

The reasoning for why Trump is allowed ballot access is irrelevant, even if the justice claims some trivial reason like standing; however, the reasoning must be in the context of addressing the issue of the 14th amendment. Whether other cases involving Trump deny him access to Colorado's ballot is not relevant.


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