
This market will resolve each of the justices' names to the way that they vote on any case that reaches the Supreme Court regarding Trump's access to the Colorado ballot due to the 14th Amendment to the United States Constitution.
The market will be decided on the opinion of whether Trump is ineligible for at least one election in the state of Colorado under any potential circumstance.
A NO resolution occurs if:
The justice authors or concurs in at least one opinion that believes that Trump is ineligible for any reason or with any condition
The court is unable to agree and rules with a plurality opinion making Trump ineligible, and the justice fails to address the topic in a dissent, therefore enabling NO by taking no action
The court allows the existing lower court ruling to stand by denying certiorari
A N/A resolution occurs if the justice:
Recuses himself or herself
Dies
Resigns
Attaches his or her name to opinions that are unreconcilable on the topic of ballot access in Colorado
A YES resolution occurs if:
The justice authors or concurs in at least one opinion that believes that Trump is eligible to appear on the ballot under all conditions
The court is unable to agree and rules with a plurality opinion making Trump eligible, and the justice fails to address the topic in a dissent, therefore enabling YES by taking no action
The reasoning for why Trump is allowed ballot access is irrelevant, even if the justice claims some trivial reason like standing; however, the reasoning must be in the context of addressing the issue of the 14th amendment. Whether other cases involving Trump deny him access to Colorado's ballot is not relevant.
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/SteveSokolowski/will-each-supreme-court-justice-vot-94d54d2d4c3f
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