Will Donald Trump win the September 27, 2023 Republican Presidential debate?
63
1.2kṀ20k
resolved Sep 29
Resolved
YES

A GOP Presidential debate will be held on September 27, 2023.

This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump wins the debate, according to CNN.com. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.

The most prominently featured article about the debate, linked from the homepage and posted the day after its conclusion, will be used as reference. "Live updates" about the debate are excluded. If the article covers "5 winners and 5 losers" or something similar, then Trump must be listed first (or last, if the order is counting down) in the list of winners. As long as he is referred to as the sole or the most prominent winner, the reason is irrelevant, even if all he did was meet expectations and even if he didn't attend.

If CNN does not post any articles about the debate on September 28, 2023, if none of the articles about the debate offer an opinion as to who won or lost, or if the debate is cancelled, then the market resolves to N/A.

NOTE: By these criteria, Nikki Haley was the winner of the August 23, 2023 debate and, if such a market had existed, that market would have resolved to YES.


RELATED MARKETS:

Exactly zero or one of the seven "Will X win the September 27 debate" questions will resolve to YES.

PROP BETS ON THIS DEBATE:


RESOLUTION: Two articles mentioned "winners" on CNN.com on September 28, and the winners were Haley and Trump.

However, the resolution criteria state that the most prominent article will be used for resolution. The following headline appeared on CNN's homepage for several hours on the morning of September 28. Trump's reference to being a "winner" was therefore more prominent than Haley's, and this is the only market out of all the linked markets related to this debate to resolve to YES.

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