What names will the next Pope take?
40
2.4kṀ7118
Jul 1
23%
Other
13%
John
12%
Victor
12%
Francis
12%
Paul
5%
Benedict
4%
Honorius
3%
Innocent
3%
Pius
1.5%
Clement
1.4%
Urban
1.1%
Peter
1.1%
Gregory

This market will resolve to all names - split evenly - that the next Pope takes. If the pope takes one listed name, that name will be YES; if there are two names, whether listed or not, each will resolve to 50%; if there are three, then 33%, and so on. A name not listed in the market will be considered as part of "Other," so "Other" can resolve to 100%, some intermediate percentage, or NO.

If the name taken only differs in spelling, the closest name listed in the market will be resolved.

Add your own answers! All answers must be a single word. Any answer that a user adds that is more than one word will resolve to NO. If a user adds a misspelling or alternate form of an existing answer, the last answer added will resolve to NO.

If there is no new pope by July 1, 2025 at midnight EDT, all answers will resolve to N/A.

See also: /SteveSokolowski/will-the-next-pope-take-the-name-fr

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I don’t understand the point of these rules. Two of the popes in this last century were named “John Paul”. It should be one of the highest options. Why make a market specifically precluding people from betting on this possibility?

@bens You can bet on that. Put 50% on Paul and 50% on John, and you'll win the same amount.

not peter

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